Irish Seek Winning Road Formula

Undefeated and sixth-ranked Notre Dame returns to the road on Saturday night for a date with 24th ranked Virginia Tech from the Atlantic Coast Conference. The 3-1 Hokies are having an up and down season, as evidenced by numerous off-field player issues, significant injuries, an inexplicable loss to 1-4 Old Dominion and an impressive road win last week over 22nd-ranked Duke. Saturday’s clash is the featured game in prime time on ABC, and coverage will start at 8:00 pm Eastern time.

Costello The Irish are playing on their sixth consecutive Saturday, but won’t get a breather in the schedule until after next week’s home game against Pittsburgh. Fatigue and minor injuries have crept into the ranks, so the team must remain focused to get through this stretched unscathed. A brutal travel regimen awaits beginning late this month and into November, with two trips to California and one to New York.

Virginia Tech is led by Head Coach Justin Fuente, who is 22-9 in his third season at the helm after resurrecting the Memphis program from 2012-15. Fuente hopes the turmoil that has plagued his squad is finally at an end so he can build continuity with a new quarterback and several young starters on defense. A visit from Notre Dame may be the perfect opportunity for Fuente to galvanize the focus of his team and fan base.

The Hokies have been shell shocked by significant attrition throughout the summer and into the season. Four probable defensive starters were lost to injury, suspension or transfer before the start of fall camp. Once the season began, the team dismissed star defensive end Trevon Hill for multiple, undisclosed behavioral incidents. Most recently, starting quarterback Josh Jackson went down two weeks ago with a broken leg. He was replaced by Ryan Willis, a transfer from Kansas. The latest injury report also indicates that starting free safety Divine Diablo is questionable for Saturday, while left tackle Silas Dzansi has been upgraded to probable.

Notre Dame lost Alex Bars, its best offensive lineman, in the victory over Stanford. Trevor Ruhland and Aaron Banks will fill in. Tailback Tony Jones, Jr. also went down in that game, but reportedly will be available for duty in Blacksburg. Unfortunately, Jafar Armstrong (knee) will have to sit this one out. Tight end Cole Kmet also returned from a high ankle sprain to make a clutch reception against the Cardinal, and defensive end Khalid Kareem continues to play well despite a nagging ankle injury.

NOTRE DAME’S OFFENSE vs. VIRGINIA TECH’S DEFENSE

Hokie Defense Quarterback Ian Book backed up his excellent first start at Wake Forest with another crisp, turnover-free performance against Stanford. The passing game continues to improve as wideouts Miles Boykin and Chase Claypool reach their potential. This pair also does a fine job of blocking downfield in the running game, where Dexter Williams adds a dimension of exceptional quickness and speed. The Irish are suddenly an efficient team in the red zone, where touchdowns are the new normal result.

Tech will counter with the 4-2-5 alignment deployed by veteran Defensive Coordinator Bud Foster. Absent sack specialist Hill, the Hokies have relied on tackle Ricky Walker and end Houshun Gaines to lead the resistance up front. Gaines lost his mother earlier this week after a long illness, but may elect to play against the Irish. “Those are touchy situations,” Foster said. “Obviously, we have the utmost respect for House’s family and what they are going through. My heart goes out to him and his family. That’s kind of a private matter, a personal matter. We’ll see how he feels.”

The back seven for Virginia Tech has been depleted as mentioned above, leaving a group composed mainly of sophomores. Rover Reggie Floyd, a junior, is the veteran. He and middle linebacker Rayshard Ashby lead the team in tackles. The Hokies have defended the run comparatively well, but have been gashed for over 300 yards per game through the air. The Irish should be patient with the running game, however, as the Hokies’ lack of size and depth can be exploited.

Losing an excellent blocker and captain such as Bars does not help Notre Dame’s cause. Breaking in new starters in key positions is not something a coach wants to do in a hostile environment, but Virginia Tech has had its own problems and won’t express any sympathy. There will be pressure on Book to run the offense calmly and efficiently, while the Hokies attempt to force an early turnover and create panic among the Irish.

VIRGINIA TECH’S OFFENSE vs. NOTRE DAME’S DEFENSE

Willis Willis, who has professional size at 6’4” and 223 pounds, completed 17 of 27 passes for 332 yards and three touchdowns against the Blue Devils. That’s not bad for the transfer who made his first start since 2016 when he was playing for the Kansas Jayhawks. Willis can also run the ball when necessary, but that duty is split primarily between tailbacks Steven Peoples and Deshawn McClease. Peoples has five rushing touchdowns and an 87-yard run to his credit this season.

The Hokies have a solid offensive line, which is a strength of this team. Dzansi, a sophomore who did not play last year, is the only question mark among a solid core of veterans. Guards Kyle Chung and Braxton Pfaff, along with right tackle Yosuah Nijman, have plenty of experience and wins under their belt. The battle with Notre Dame’s powerful defensive front will go a long way toward determining whether Virginia Tech can hang with the Irish.

Tech likes to throw the ball downfield, and three receivers average more than 20 yards per catch. Damon Hazelton is the best of this group, while Eric Kumah and Hezekiah Grimsley are the other starters. They are backed up by freshman speedster Tre Turner, although Turner may not be 100% healthy for this game. The tight end is Dalton Keene, who is also capable of stretching the field as evidenced by a 67-yard touchdown last week.

Willis did not experience much adversity in the pocket last week as he picked apart Duke. Notre Dame brought plenty of pressure in the second half against Stanford after a slow start, as tackle Jerry Tillery took over the game. The Irish have learned an aggressive defense that creates negative plays is a valuable weapon in an emotionally charged environment, and they want to be the team that forces turnovers and quiets the crowd.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Justin Yoon barely missed a 50-yard field goal lst week, but it certainly was not for lack of leg strength. Overall, the Irish have achieved a consistent level of play on special teams over the past couple of weeks. A forced turnover or a return for touchdown would be welcome and not out of the realm of possibility in light of the talent level they deploy on these units, but this would be a tall order this week. The Hokies have allowed returns on two of 28 kickoffs and none of its punts.

Virginia Tech also boasts competent special teams, as has been a tradition in Blacksburg for many years. Kicker Jordan Stout has not missed so far this year, with a long of 45 yards. Punter Oscar Bradburn is above average. In the return game, Hazelton has not done much to date with punts but remains a threat. Kickoff returns are shared by Terius Wheatley and Caleb Farley, where Wheatley has had greater success.

SUMMARY

Dexter Williams Getting off to a good start is paramount for Notre Dame, who have trailed by a grand total of three points for a mere two minutes this season. Both offenses are balanced with strong lines and talent at the skill positions. The Irish have a clear edge defensively and need to take control as they have done every week this season.

Foster will throw a few new defensive wrinkles at Notre Dame, so the test for the Irish staff is how quickly they can diagnose them and adjust. This process did not happen at all last November in Miami, but the Irish attack was much more predictable back then. After weeks of relatively poor second half production this season, Notre Dame clearly won this part of the battle against Stanford.

Here are a few questions that will shed light on the outcome:

Can the Irish continue to turn red zone opportunities into touchdowns?

Will Notre Dame’s defensive line have enough energy for another dominating performance?

Which receivers will have the most success downfield?

Will the Irish lose their poise in the face of the frenzied Virginia Tech crowd?

Which team will be able to run the ball and achieve offensive balance?

Can either special teams dominate or deliver a scoring play?

Which quarterback will avoid turnovers and execute best on third down?

Will Brian Kelly finally become a Road Warrior?

PREDICTION

Purple Rage This is another road game at night against a ranked opponent, and Notre Dame fans still have vivid nightmares as the Irish soiled the bedsheets in Miami last season. In fact, Kelly has only one win (Temple) in his last ten road contests against ranked teams. He can use this as a motivational tool for his team and as an opportunity for a bit of personal redemption. Another deer-in-the-headlights performance should be grounds for his immediate dismissal, but the Hokies don’t appear to have enough ammunition to win this battle.

NOTRE DAME 31 VIRGINIA TECH 20

10 thoughts on “Irish Seek Winning Road Formula

  1. This is the game that worried me all year. It will be a madhouse and very loud at Va Tech. The reference to Miami is probably in the back of many Irish fans minds.Can Kelly overcome his record vs ranked teams on the road? If VT gets off to a fast start then watch out. On paper Irish a better more talented team. ND wins 33-20.

    • JVAN,

      Irish lay a “massive egg” on the road… It happens every year and there’s no way
      to stop it with BK in charge…

      Too much at stake for the Irish as the atmosphere will once again overwhelm them
      and the stage is too big!!

      Fumbles, special teams miscues cost us our dream season in Blacksburg…..

      Hope I’m wrong..

      VT 26
      ND 24

  2. “Grounds for immediate dismissal”…I’m not a big BK fan, but the team is 5-0 and beaten 3 ranked opponents in the last 6 games . Two of which were in the top 15, one of those was ranked #7, and was bested by 21. Give the man and the team a little credit…take a break from yelling at kids to get off your lawn and enjoy the ride.

  3. Book is unflappable, and I think his leadership is going to show the offense the way. The defense will do its job like they always do. The ONE THING that has me popping Paxils like they’re Skittles is our offensive line. How will the loss of Alex Bars affect the unit? That’s my key to the game. If the line continues to pick up the blitzes and give Ian time to read the defense, he’ll chew them apart, and “Book to Boykin” is going to be more earworm-y than “Call Me Maybe.” If they can’t open running lanes or pick up blitzes, we’ll be lucky if they come home with their collateral ligaments intact, W or L.

  4. SubwayAlum_2012 says:

    Was Michigan State ranked last year when we beat them? I know they were at the end of the year, not sure if they were during that game.
    regardless, if you want to be the best, you have to win in adverse situations, and I think they boys are sick of all the Miami talk from last year, 45-20 GO IRISH!!!!

    • No, MSU was coming off a 3-9 season in 2016 and were not ranked when ND played them in Week 3. They first cracked the 2017 polls at #21 after beating Michigan in week five.

  5. Just win baby. ND just needs to escape with a win any way they can. It doesn’t have to be pretty although pretty would be good. V Tech is a hostile venue so I don’t expect a 49-14 beat down.

    BTW, great picture of Kelly.

  6. ND 45
    Hokies 20

    Big night for Book, D. Line/ Hokies score late to make it look like a real game took place!

    BK finally gets the ranked road game monkey off his back!

  7. I think it unlikely that a team that has given up 300+ through the air per game will suddenly find its groove against a guy who has already demonstrated that he makes good decisions and can spread the ball VEEEEEERRRRRYYY nicely. Book puts on his mask, picks up his surgeon’s knife, and dissects ALL NIGHT LONG. Irish by 3 TD’s.